Deck Database

YET ANOTHER <1%! ZERO CASCADE, TOP 25 (deck id: 90043)
Tribe: Knight
60 Maindeck cards and 0 Sideboard
Standard Tribal Wars · Knight Aggro
 2nd by Bandit Keith in Tribal Apocalypse 10.23 (3-1)
MAINDECK (60 Cards)
30 Creatures
4 Blacklance Paragon

4 Fervent Champion

4 Inspiring Veteran

4 Knight of the Ebon Legion

4 Smitten Swordmaster

4 Venerable Knight

4 Worthy Knight

2 Corpse Knight

8 Spells
4 Dire Tactics

4 Fight as One

22 Lands
4 Blood Crypt

4 Godless Shrine

4 Sacred Foundry

4 Swamp

4 Tournament Grounds

2 Plains

R1:  Win 2 - 0vs.  -DiamondDust-  TWS Flare 
R2:  Win 2 - 0vs.  romellos  Warrior Stompy 
R3:  Win 2 - 0vs.  Nagarjuna  Faeries Sephara 
T2:  Loss 1 - 2vs.  ThyShuffler  Yorion Orzhov Humans 
Total:  48
  x 16
  x 22
Avg CMC: 1.58
How Important I Could've Been to You Bandit Keith Tribal Apocalypse 10.32 3-0
1 Lurrus, of the Dream Den as my Companion #1
1 Obscenely Unlucky Statistical Anomalies as Companion #2

As the title implies, with 8 cascade cards, odds of having at least one in the top 25 cards is over 99%. Of course, this is Bandit Keith, and this is Tribal Apocalypse, so it shouldn't surprise anyone that I didn't hit it last week. Short of one topdeck with dinosaurs (after my opponent hit also the best card in his deck the previous turn, so I needed it), I've had the most miserable luck in the past year in this tournament. How did I ever win tournaments?

Of course, the immediate next card down after that game ended was a cascade card. If I were able to drop 140 dollars for 4x FoW to delay the game, counter my opponent's threats, and get a few more drawsteps, it seems very likely the outcome would have changed, but it doesn't seem like a good investment for a PRE tournament that pays in a few tix at a time, in these dark times for the world. Just like how I won't pay 46 tix to buy 4 commons in a Pauper subformat that is almost never played anyway in Tribal just so my MBC deck is competitive. Of course I was paired up to an undefeated to play a mirror where that card is crucial to have.

And the last time I played the Standard subformat, so about a month ago or so, I got the infamous 2 lands in the top 22 cards, which has a probability of 0.03%. That means it happens 3 times per every 10,000 games. (I can tell you that the last time such a probability happened to me in Tribal was far short than 10,000 games ago. It was last season, while I was playing Spirits, so about a year ago. Statistical anomalies and mana problems just LOVE me.)

Of course, regarding the 2 lands in the top 22 cards, that was game 3, after I had already been horribly mana screwed game 1 and game 2, with other unfortunate events happening in the same match, like constantly receiving and mulliganing 0 or 1 land openers, and drawing 4 out of 4 uncastable spells in the top 10 cards as my draw steps. WoTC is notoriously horrible with technology, so an unoptimized shuffler is not so far-fetched to contemplate.

I've written fully about this match in the comments section around that time, but Generalissimo recorded the match also, when he played Umori as a companion during the last Standard subformat, so if you think I am exaggerating about any of this and want to see it for yourself to verify, or want to see a guy get mana screwed for 3 games in a row, culminating in a 0.03% mana screw for game 3, (and other kinds of anomalies occurring concomitantly), please watch those games, and then tell me that I am not obscenely unlucky.

So, it is either a faulty shuffler, or I am the most unlucky person to have ever played Tribal Apocalypse, and it isn't even close. That's what I want my legacy to be. To have accomplished what I have in spite of these horrific disadvantages. Men lie, women lie, but the numbers and statistics that I outline in my titles and comments don't lie.